Tuesday, January 03, 2017

A USD/JPY RSI Divergence And A Possible Double Top



USD/JPY tested the strong resistance zone between 118.60 and 118.75 again but could not break out above it and began dropping sharply. It is possible that the pair has formed a double top, but I think that scenario can be confirmed only after the daily bar closes.

On the daily time frame there are RSI divergences between four highs - 113.531, 114.823, 116.120 and 118.660. If those divergences are valid then I think we can expect a move to the downside below 106.90, although at the moment, given how strong the US dollar is, such a scenario sounds quite optimistic.

On the other hand, if USD/JPY continues rallying the next strong resistance it can encounter is at 120.00.



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