As I thought, the EUR/USD correction is not over yet. The pair resumed its depreciation and I think it is headed for 1.2180 – 1.2140. That is a strong support zone and I think it will probably stop the depreciation.
1.2140 is at 50% Fibo of the supposed third out of fifth wave, and a fall to that level would mean the development of a rather deep fourth wave. According to the Elliott Wave Theory when there is an impulse the fourth waves usually reach 38.2 % Fibo although sometimes there are more shallow (23.6 % Fibo) and deeper (50 % Fibo) waves. If the supposed fourth wave is deeper than 50 % we should re-examine the way we count the waves.
For now, however, my expectation is for a deeper fourth wave, after which the pair should renew its rally for a fifth out of fifth wave as it is marked on the screenshot, a count which is still valid, in my opinion.
Good post!
ReplyDeleteThe pair is quite bearish for now.
ReplyDeleteBreak below 1.22 level would confirm further downside.
ReplyDeleteGood insight.
ReplyDeleteValuable information! Thanks.
ReplyDeleteGood posts, very helpful for all traders.
ReplyDeleteInformative review on current market conditions.
ReplyDelete