Gold formed
a third consecutive high visible on the weekly time frame for the period
between 12th and 19th June and by doing so it also
reached 75% of the limit of the wedge that has been forming in the past two
years – between December 2013 and December 2015. It is well-known that such
technical analysis figures may not always reach 100% of their limits, but it
is normal to expect them to reach least 70%. With this in mind I can say that
Gold has reached that 70% minimum.
The third
consecutive high is also a shooting star candlestick, which has formed below
the weekly resistance at 1300.
Also, the
RSI indicator shows a very clear divergence between these three highs.
What is
more, on the weekly time frame we can see a broadening triangle with four waves
that have formed so far. It remains to be seen whether the fifth one will form
as well. Such broadening triangles are often signals for a trend reversal.
With all
these factors in mind, as well as the fact that signals that appear on the
weekly time frame are pretty long-term, I wonder whether Gold will continue
rising or we will see a new move to the downside. I am willing to accept the
latter scenario, but time will tell whether I am right.
Excellent analysis, thank you!
ReplyDeleteConsidering the mentioned range, there is space for further decline.
ReplyDeleteGood insight.
ReplyDeleteGood point to keep in mind.
ReplyDeleteGood post!
ReplyDeleteTaking note of key levels to keep track and follow up.
ReplyDeleteInformative post!
ReplyDeleteI will watch gold closely.
ReplyDelete