We have
seen crashes like this more than once, when a country defies the world economic
and political status quo.
The USD/RUB
situation was similar when Russia annexed Crimea.
Yesterday
the TRY lost 19% of its value over the course of mere hours when the
relationship between the USA and Turkey took a nosedive due to the situation
around the detainment of the American pastor Andrew Brunson. President Trump
used his presidential authority to double the tariffs on steel and aluminum
coming from Turkey.
And while
the TRY was crashing and President Erdogan was reassuring his people and was
encouraging them to exchange their savings into Turkish Lires, his son-in-law
and finance minister Berat Albayrak made a statement that his
country would follow a new economical approach based on a “strategic way of
thinking”.
It is interesting to see whether
the Turkish people, after electing a President who aims to roll back many of
Kemal Atatürk’s reforms, would follow blindly
the call to exchange what little is left of their financial security into the
devaluated Turkish Lire.
Good insight.
ReplyDeleteGood post!
ReplyDeleteVery insightful article, thank you.
ReplyDeleteWill keep your analysis in mind.
ReplyDeleteImpressive squeeze
ReplyDelete