I expect the consolidation to end soon and for the pair to finally pick a direction.
A clear symmetrical triangle with a height at its base of 325 pips - from 1.1851 to 1.1507 - is forming on the H4 time frame.
The breakout of that triangle is impending and if it is above the resistance trend line then we can expect a rally to 1.20+.
The alternative scenario is for a breakout to the downside, below the support trend line, after which I think there will be a depreciation toward 1.1300 – 1.1280.
I think that the more probable scenario is for a rally toward 1.20+, after which we should be looking for an entry for medium term short positions.
A clear symmetrical triangle with a height at its base of 325 pips - from 1.1851 to 1.1507 - is forming on the H4 time frame.
The breakout of that triangle is impending and if it is above the resistance trend line then we can expect a rally to 1.20+.
The alternative scenario is for a breakout to the downside, below the support trend line, after which I think there will be a depreciation toward 1.1300 – 1.1280.
I think that the more probable scenario is for a rally toward 1.20+, after which we should be looking for an entry for medium term short positions.
Good point, I agree with the analysis.
ReplyDeleteA good post with good insights into the situation.
ReplyDeleteWill keep in mind your assessment.
ReplyDeleteGood to know, thanks!
ReplyDeleteGood post!
ReplyDeleteI'm expecting the pair would continue the downside and test 1.15.
ReplyDelete