I kept
expecting that USD/JPY will start rallying but those expectations were clearly
in vain. The reason why I thought that would happen is that it is very strange
for a corrective wave (marked in red on the W1 time frame) which should be B or
X wave to develop as an impulse – and that was a perfect impulse formation. That
is why I concluded there should be another wave to the north.
That didn’t
happen. Obviously, considering the issues affecting the USD – North Korea, the
hurricanes causing so much damage in the States – there is no way for the
dollar to strengthen at this moment.
USD/JPY
broke out below the trend channel (in blue on the D1 time frame) and if it
reaches its limit the first target on the way down should be at 106.00. Should
the depreciation deepen the pair could find a stronger support around 101.50-101.00.
I have
already written about my expectations for a rally, but they are becoming less
and less valid.
It will probably continue falling.
ReplyDeleteExcellent analysis as always!
ReplyDeleteGood insight.
ReplyDeleteGreat assessment. I'll keep a close eye on it.
ReplyDeleteA significant slump.
ReplyDeleteA gap up in H4 chart.
ReplyDelete