Thursday, May 04, 2017

I Expect A USD/JPY Rally To 119.00




USD/JPY has been rallying smoothly with almost no serious correction and reached the resistance trend line of the channel. Within the channel it formed a corrective flag that reached the trend lines four times that I can call an A-B-C correction without a doubt. The last above-mentioned move to the upside from 108.128 (from  17th April 2017) could be interpreted as an impulse to the upside.

That could mean that the correction is over at this stage and we could expect a breakout above the resistance trend line.

If that assessment is valid there could be a rally toward  119.00 at least, i.e. another 600 pips to the upside, where is the limit of the flag.

In the alternate scenario there will be a new move to the downside to the support trend line, but I think that is not very likely.


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