The pinbar that formed on the weekly LCrude time frame had the result that I expected and LCrude has been been moving inexorably to the upside for three weeks now, having formed one small correction. I think it’s quite possible for that rally to continue towards the zone around 51.00 – 52.00, where there is a resistance visible on weekly time frame.
The more optimistic scenario is for a move to the upside towards 65.00 – 66.00, an idea supported by the pinbar formed on the monthly time frame at 34.00, as well as what we know about corrective waves – they tend to form in pairs, with correction between them.
If we examine the monthly time frame we will see a fully formed corrective wave from 26.045 to 51.654, then a retracement after which the move to the upside continued. If we assume that the second corrective wave will be as long as the first one, then that optimistic scenario for a rally towards 65.00 could turn out to be valid.
Let’s see how it keeps going.
ReplyDeleteGood analysis!
ReplyDeleteThank you for the analysis.
ReplyDeleteHelpful post, thanks.
ReplyDeleteI would have to agree with your point.
ReplyDeleteVery good post.
ReplyDeleteGood post!
ReplyDelete